Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 10.307213 11.418536 12.612148 13.991568 15.544384 17.241279 19.239991
2025-09-14 8.429533 9.920475 11.634831 13.760332 16.336458 19.372194 23.241776
2025-09-21 7.020149 8.690853 10.725673 13.405162 16.868420 21.231187 27.202409
2025-09-28 6.051711 7.826825 10.099708 13.255939 17.576645 23.358924 31.809225
2025-10-05 5.509620 7.413754 9.965594 13.687215 19.062892 26.680967 38.538408
2025-10-12 5.056742 7.048518 9.828966 14.067858 20.498992 30.109267 45.980461
2025-10-19 4.596344 6.607750 9.518305 14.134055 21.453002 32.930064 52.947211
2025-10-26 4.162838 6.150494 9.120086 13.999162 22.051298 35.247597 59.456931
2025-11-02 3.782809 5.728693 8.721299 13.799791 22.495549 37.343449 65.909708
2025-11-09 3.450334 5.344006 8.334455 13.562712 22.826330 39.263287 72.343243
2025-11-16 3.175924 5.023282 8.013828 13.391164 23.233453 41.351595 79.438842
2025-11-23 2.952539 4.763659 7.765425 13.309847 23.780351 43.755628 87.579593
2025-11-30 2.808035 4.627484 7.720005 13.599632 25.086206 47.872384 100.279400
2025-12-07 2.614111 4.389009 7.473738 13.491329 25.610027 50.512786 110.308630
2025-12-14 2.415198 4.124296 7.155514 13.209665 25.748238 52.371357 118.933023
2025-12-21 2.261149 3.926342 6.939598 13.100710 26.223862 55.024209 130.053760
2025-12-28 2.193385 3.879740 7.000012 13.549073 27.944942 60.741765 150.297117
2026-01-04 2.122825 3.821282 7.031180 13.939041 29.591102 66.567095 172.301294
2026-01-11 2.021672 3.695772 6.919353 14.012544 30.526066 70.832550 191.030568
2026-01-18 1.907537 3.535828 6.724498 13.883554 30.967068 73.933199 207.139465
2026-01-25 1.796457 3.373362 6.510539 13.688668 31.222417 76.596804 222.617264
2026-02-01 1.690872 3.214082 6.289929 13.455241 31.351443 78.947381 237.742263
2026-02-08 1.599600 3.077309 6.105434 13.286086 31.621939 81.739647 255.145216